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Chebucto Regional Softball Club

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  3. Come on guys...
A forum for discussing and organizing recreational softball and baseball games and leagues in the greater Halifax area.

Come on guys...

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rpgmemes
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      #2
      Thats the same argument to use taking a bomb on a plane. What are the odds of having *2* bombs on board?
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        #3
        Ok. I know that this isn't correct... But isn't it? If you're having an unlimited number of rolls prior to your "real" roll, then you would be, in essence, creating a situation that has a statistically lower chance of happening.
        ? F underpantsweevil@lemmy.worldU ? ? 5 Replies Last reply
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          #4
          Gotta get the unlucky out of my system first.
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          • ? Guest
            Ok. I know that this isn't correct... But isn't it? If you're having an unlimited number of rolls prior to your "real" roll, then you would be, in essence, creating a situation that has a statistically lower chance of happening.
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            wrote last edited by
            #5
            No. You have a five percent chance of rolling any given number on any given roll on a twenty sided die.
            ? underpantsweevil@lemmy.worldU 2 Replies Last reply
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            • ? Guest
              Ok. I know that this isn't correct... But isn't it? If you're having an unlimited number of rolls prior to your "real" roll, then you would be, in essence, creating a situation that has a statistically lower chance of happening.
              F This user is from outside of this forum
              F This user is from outside of this forum
              fearfulsalad@ttrpg.network
              wrote last edited by
              #6
              Before you roll any dice, the chances of rolling two nat 1s are 1/400. But after you roll your first die, whatever it happened to be, your chances of rolling a nat 1 are 1/20. The chances of the *entire* scenario have no impact on the probability of the individual rolls
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              • F fearfulsalad@ttrpg.network
                Before you roll any dice, the chances of rolling two nat 1s are 1/400. But after you roll your first die, whatever it happened to be, your chances of rolling a nat 1 are 1/20. The chances of the *entire* scenario have no impact on the probability of the individual rolls
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                wrote last edited by
                #7

                @FearfulSalad @brian
                The Gambler's Fallacy even shows up in humor.

                Hitchhiker: "thank you, but aren't you even a little worried picking up hitchhikers?"

                Driver: "nah bro, the odds of a car having TWO serial killers is too tiny to worry about."

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                  wrote last edited by
                  #8
                  The die need to warm up. I have to practice my release to make sure of a good number. Don't take this from me.
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                  • ? Guest

                    @FearfulSalad @brian
                    The Gambler's Fallacy even shows up in humor.

                    Hitchhiker: "thank you, but aren't you even a little worried picking up hitchhikers?"

                    Driver: "nah bro, the odds of a car having TWO serial killers is too tiny to worry about."

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                    wrote last edited by
                    #9
                    My mother used to tell me there was one weirdo on every bus. I couldn't find them.
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                    • ? Guest
                      No. You have a five percent chance of rolling any given number on any given roll on a twenty sided die.
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                      wrote last edited by
                      #10
                      A properly weighted die
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                      • ? Guest
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                        wrote last edited by
                        #11
                        This kind of thinking is wasteful. Every d20 has a finite lifespan. It was created, and it will, at some time in the future be destroyed, as all things are. That means it has a finite number of rolls in its lifetime, with an equal distribution of all possible outcomes. When you "practice roll" and get a nat 20, you have wasted one of the limited number of nat 20s that die has in it. Think of the 20s. Don't practice roll.
                        ? ? starman2112@sh.itjust.worksS ? 4 Replies Last reply
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                        • ? Guest
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                          wrote last edited by
                          #12
                          How did you manage to spell the same word differently in the same sentence?
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                          • ? Guest
                            This kind of thinking is wasteful. Every d20 has a finite lifespan. It was created, and it will, at some time in the future be destroyed, as all things are. That means it has a finite number of rolls in its lifetime, with an equal distribution of all possible outcomes. When you "practice roll" and get a nat 20, you have wasted one of the limited number of nat 20s that die has in it. Think of the 20s. Don't practice roll.
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                            Guest
                            wrote last edited by
                            #13
                            On the contrary, it will not be the number of rolls that destroys it, but being thrown away. You should roll it as much as you can before then, any time spent not rolling is time wasted!
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                            • ? Guest
                              How did you manage to spell the same word differently in the same sentence?
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                              wrote last edited by
                              #14
                              Ai probably
                              A 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • ? Guest
                                This kind of thinking is wasteful. Every d20 has a finite lifespan. It was created, and it will, at some time in the future be destroyed, as all things are. That means it has a finite number of rolls in its lifetime, with an equal distribution of all possible outcomes. When you "practice roll" and get a nat 20, you have wasted one of the limited number of nat 20s that die has in it. Think of the 20s. Don't practice roll.
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                                wrote last edited by
                                #15
                                This is like a common house fly worrying about the lifespan of Cthulhu.
                                R ? 2 Replies Last reply
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                                • F fearfulsalad@ttrpg.network
                                  Before you roll any dice, the chances of rolling two nat 1s are 1/400. But after you roll your first die, whatever it happened to be, your chances of rolling a nat 1 are 1/20. The chances of the *entire* scenario have no impact on the probability of the individual rolls
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                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #16
                                  Right but the way I took the meme was that you would roll *until* you get a 1, then deciding the next roll is the "real" one.
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                                  • ? Guest
                                    Right but the way I took the meme was that you would roll *until* you get a 1, then deciding the next roll is the "real" one.
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                                    Guest
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #17
                                    That's what the meme says, but probability doesn't work that way. If you want the result from a roll, what you've roller before has no bearing on the result from this roll. Thus the chance for a single d20 roll is always 1/20, or 5%.
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                                      Guest
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #18
                                      Monty Hall would love this guy
                                      underpantsweevil@lemmy.worldU starman2112@sh.itjust.worksS 2 Replies Last reply
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                                      • ? Guest
                                        This is like a common house fly worrying about the lifespan of Cthulhu.
                                        R This user is from outside of this forum
                                        R This user is from outside of this forum
                                        rizzrustbolt@lemmy.world
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #19
                                        You haven't seen how some of the folks I play with roll.
                                        ? ? 2 Replies Last reply
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                                        • ? Guest
                                          Monty Hall would love this guy
                                          underpantsweevil@lemmy.worldU This user is from outside of this forum
                                          underpantsweevil@lemmy.worldU This user is from outside of this forum
                                          underpantsweevil@lemmy.world
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #20
                                          It literally doesn't matter whether you stick with your door or switch. *Takes mathematical model and shoves it in the trash* No! I won't listen! It doesn't matter, I tell you!!!
                                          ? ? 2 Replies Last reply
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